Polymarket's probability of "gold falling below $4300 before the end of March" rose to 39% 21% in 24 hours

As the price of gold has fallen, the probability of the event "gold falling below $4300 before the end of March" on Polymarket has risen to 39%, rising by 21% in 24 hours; in addition, the probability of the event "gold falling below $4000 before the end of March" is tentatively reported at 6%, rising by 2% in 24 hours. As of now, the trading volume of gold price forecast event contracts on Polymarket is approximately US$2.825 million. Analysts believe that due to expectations of uncertainty about the prospects of negotiations between the United States and Iran, international crude oil futures prices have risen sharply, and the three major stock indexes of the New York stock market in the United States have fallen significantly. Affected by market concerns about inflation, international gold and silver prices fell sharply. According to Gate data, spot gold is currently temporarily reported at US$4,402.51, a 24-hour decline of 0.55%, and spot silver is temporarily reported at US$68.154, a 24-hour decline of 0.08%. The Polymarket Prophet Channel continues to focus on the forecast market and sees changes before pricing.