The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in April is 92.8%

On March 24, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 92.8%. The probability of the Fed raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by June is 9.1%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis points interest rates is 0.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 90.7%.