Bitcoin may stage "$80,000 short strangle" Analysts warn that a larger liquidation storm is approaching

As the market bet that the situation in the United States and Iran will ease and Bitcoin will rebound from around $75,000, traders begin to expect Bitcoin to launch an attack on $80,000 and trigger a large number of short liquidations. Several traders said that Bitcoin's previous fall below US$75,000 was more like a "liquidity sweep" and the current market has returned to a short-term bullish rhythm. Analysis pointed out that a large number of highly leveraged short orders are gathered in the US$80,000 to US$80,500 area. If prices continue to rise, a new round of short squeeze may be triggered. At the same time, market expectations for a peace agreement between the United States and Iran are heating up. U.S. stock futures have taken the lead in hitting record highs, while oil prices have fallen. Analysts believe that if geopolitical risks cool down, it will be conducive to the overall repair of risky assets, including the crypto market. However, on-chain and fund-side data still sends warning signals. On-chain analysis platform CryptoQuant pointed out that Binance's net Bitcoin inflow has increased significantly in the past 10 days, and its monthly reserves have increased by about 16,000 BTC, which is often regarded as a signal of rising potential selling pressure. In addition, the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF has continued to experience capital outflows recently, and the Coinbase premium index has turned negative, indicating that demand from U.S. institutions is weakening. At the same time, market leverage bulls continue to increase, and funding rates remain positive. Analysts warned that against the background of "ETF withdrawals, weak spot demand, and crowded leveraged bulls", Bitcoin is currently more like a fragile rebound driven by leverage than a healthy bull market, and a "large-scale liquidation event" may occur in the future.