The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%

On June 25, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July was 65.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points was 34.2%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 33.6%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 49.7%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 16.7%.