The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 77%

On July 6, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 23%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 41.9%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 47.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 10.5%.