The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 59.0%

On August 24, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 59.0%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 41.0%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 46.6%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 44.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.6%.