The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 60.4%

On August 26, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 60.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 39.6%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 45.7%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 44.7%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 9.7%.