The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 43.1%

On August 31, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 43.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 56.9%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 29.3%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 52.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 18.3%.