The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 58.6%

On September 5, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 37.7%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 62.3%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 27.2%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 55.5%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 17.2%.