The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in September is 34.6%

On September 1, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Observation": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 34.6%, and the probability of raising interest rates by a cumulative 25 basis points is 65.4%. The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 25.4%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 57.2%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 17.4%.