BTC breaks through 82,000: Is it a bull market charge or the final trap to lure more people?
Recently, there is a "smell of money" in the air in the currency circle: BTC not only stood firm at the 80,000 mark, but also broke through 82,000 las…
BTC breaks through 82,000: Is it a bull market charge or the final trap to lure more people?
Recently, there is a "smell of money" in the air in the currency circle: BTC not only stood firm at the 80,000 mark, but also broke through 82,000 last night. Some people shouted for US$100,000 to see you, but others shivered before the resistance level of 85,000.
Where is the confidence for this wave of rise? 8.2 Why is the sawing around Wan repeatedly? Will I accept the offer if I enter now? Today, let's break down the "true logic" behind this wave of market prices.
1. The 80,000 mark was broken: Before the long battle to defend chips
, the market repeatedly swung sideways in the range of US$78,000-US$79,000. That was the average cost of buyers in recent times and the "life-and-death line" for long and short positions.
Unleash all employees: Standing at 80,000 means that all chips entered the market in the past 155 days have been profitable. This effect of "profit for all" has greatly boosted the market's confidence and swept away the previous depression.
Next stop, the ceiling: The bulls are facing the real test right now-$85,000. This is the core cost area for long-term holders and the first heavy "ceiling" that bulls must break through.
Second, the money-making effect has returned, but although the "two mountains" have hit
the market, it is not yet time to "close your eyes and enter". At present, there is obvious double selling pressure on the market:
old players are "safe": old leeks who have held coins for more than a year sell about US$180 million every day. But this is a moderate profit and has not yet reached the level of crazy selling.
New players "run away": The real resistance comes from the previous 85,000 people who were trapped in high positions. The current average daily stop loss amount is as high asUS$479 million, 1.4 times the normal level.
Only when this kind of "meat cutting plate" and "unbundling plate" drops below 200 million yuan will the resistance to rise truly become lighter.
3. Institutional entry and options maze
ETF funds have changed face: the net inflow of spot ETFs that had flowed out continuously before has finally turned positive in the past 30 days. Institutions no longer wait and see and start to enter the market quickly in small steps to purchase goods.
Shorts are not convinced: Although prices are rising, there are still a large number of short sellers in the contract market, and the funding rate remains negative. This situation of "short sellers not admitting defeat" can easily lead to continuous pull-ups after a short position is blown.
Options accelerator: Nearly $2 billion in options positions piled up around 82,000. This is like an amplifier, making prices rise more fiercely and fall more sharply at this position.
4. Summary: Hold the rhythm, don't be driven away by fluctuations
. Face the current situation, don't blindly stutter, and don't panic excessively:
Look at shocks in the short term: 85,000 is a strong resistance area, with old chips above and stop-loss plates below., there is a high probability that stress will be absorbed through shocks.
Key signal: Only when the volume exceeds 85,000 and stands firm can the room for growth truly open.
Operational advice: The market is still in a "period of suspicion". I will consider reducing my position around 85,000 to make a band.
To sum up one sentence: there is support for the rise, and resistance at the high level. In this interval, patience is more valuable than courage!